Problem
From September 2000 to March 2001, the S&P 500 index fell 27% and the US economy headed into a recession. From March 2002 to July 2002, the index fell another 27%, yet this time the recovery that was already underway continued. Based on these events, explain why you would or would not use the stock market as a leading indicator to predict a recession the next time it falls sharply.
The response should include a reference list. Double-space, using Times New Roman 12 pnt font, one-inch margins, and APA style of writing and citations.