Explain individual purchase a lottery ticket


In the certain state lottery, the lottery ticket costs $2. In terms of decision to buy or not to buy the lottery ticket, assume that following payoff table applies:

State of Nature

Decision Alternatives Win s1 Loses s2

Purchase lottery ticket, d1 300,000 -2

Do not purchase lottery ticket, d2 0 0

a. The realistic estimate of chances of winning is 1 in 250,000. Use expected value approach to recommend the decision.

b. If the particular decision maker assigns the indifference probability of 0.000001 to $0 payoff, would the individual purchase a lottery ticket? Utilize expected utility to justify the answer.

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Mathematics: Explain individual purchase a lottery ticket
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