Expected gain-loss from the forward hedging


Cray Research sold a super computer to the Max Planck Institute in Germany on credit and invoiced DM 10 million payable in six months. Currently, the six-month forward exchange rate is $1.50/DM and the foreign exchange advisor for Cray Research predicts that the spot rate is likely to be $1.43 in six months.

(a) What is the expected gain/loss from the forward hedging?

(b) If you were the financial manager of Cray Research, would you recommend hedging this DM receivable? Why or why not?

(c) Suppose the foreign exchange advisor predicts that the future spot rate will be the same as the forward exchange rate quoted today. Would you recommend hedging in this case? Why or why not?

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Microeconomics: Expected gain-loss from the forward hedging
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