Problem:
Good-Time Company is a regional chain department store. It will remain in business for one more year. The probability of a boom year is 64 percent and the probability of a recession is 36 percent. It is projected that the company will generate a total cash flow of $212 million in a boom year and $80 million in a recession. The company's required debt payment at the end of the year is $121 million. The market value of the company's outstanding debt is $87 million. The company pays no taxes.
Instruction:
Part 1: What payoff do bondholders expect to receive in the event of a recession?
Part 2: What is the promised return on the company's debt?
Part 3: What is the expected return on the company's debt?
Note: Explain all steps comprehensively.