Estimate the seasonal index associated with quarter


Discuss the below:

Q: An analyst wants to use the ratio to moving average method to forecast a company's sales forecast the next few quarters. Beginning in quarter 4 of 04, the analyst collects the following sales data.

Estimate the seasonal index associated with quarter 4.

Centered ratio to

Time Moving Moving moving

period quarter sales average average average

1 4 76.3

2 1 110.9
103.425
3 2 129.1
112.325
4 3 97.4
115.550
5 4 111.9
110.825
6 1 123.8
110.050
7 2 110.2
103.425
8 3 94.3
116.650
9 4 85.4
120.400
10 1 176.7
128.900

11 2 125.2

12 3 128.3

Q: How to get the centered moving average, and the ratio to moving average ?

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Basic Statistics: Estimate the seasonal index associated with quarter
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