Estimate proportion with ninety percent confidence


Suppose you want to estimate the proportion of people in your community who would choose Thin Mints as their favorite Girl Scout cookie. Also suppose previous studies have shown this proportion to be around .3.

(a) Determine how many people you would have to sample in order to estimate this proportion to within .025 with 90% confidence.

If your boss says that this number (your answer to part a) is too large to be practical, you might respond that a smaller sample size would suffice if either the margin-of-error (.025) or the confidence level (90%) were changed.

(b) In which direction would the margin-of-error need to change in order for a smaller sample size to suffice?

! Larger margin-of-error

! Smaller margin-of-error

(c) In which direction would the confidence level need to change in order for a smaller sample size to suffice?

! Larger confidence level

! Smaller confidence level

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Basic Statistics: Estimate proportion with ninety percent confidence
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