Determining the tracking signal and state


A particular forecasting model was used to forecast a six-month period. Here are the forecasts and actual demands that resulted:

                  Forecast    Actual
April               250         200
May                325         250
June               400         325
July                350         300
August            375         325
September      450         400

Find the tracking signal and state whether you think the model being used is giving acceptable answers.

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