Determine the fluctuations of the business cycle


1. Milton Friedman argued that:

  • the effectiveness of expansionary fiscal policy is often limited by the effects of crowding out.
  • a central bank following a monetary policy rule would destabilize the economy.
  • a discretionary monetary policy should be used to offset the fluctuations of the business cycle.
  • the velocity of money is unstable.

2. To the extent that there is volatility in the velocity of money:

  • a monetary policy rule will not be an effective tool of stabilization.
  • people will not be able to plan the timing of their consumption expenditures.
  • Congress will have to execute monetary policy, rather than the Federal Reserve.
  • the natural rate of unemployment will be lowered.

3. The Friedman-Phelps (natural rate) hypothesis predicted that:

  • effective policy action by the Federal Reserve could keep unemployment below its natural rate.
  • effective policy action by Congress could keep unemployment below its natural rate.
  •  the apparent tradeoff between inflation and unemployment would not survive once expectations of high inflation were built into public perceptions.
  • the velocity of money would become volatile when the economy reached a situation of full employment.

4. If fiscal policy is used to stimulate the economy at a key time prior to an election:

  • there will be no short-term effect on unemployment.
  • it will cause a supply shock rather than a demand shock.
  •  the result will be a political business cycle.
  • it will not create any inflationary pressure.

5. The Federal Reserve adopted a monetarist approach when it:

  • ceased engaging in open-market operations.
  • announced target ranges for interest rates and dropped money supply targets.
  • tried to push the rate of unemployment below the natural rate.
  • announced target ranges for the money supply and dropped interest rate targets.

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Macroeconomics: Determine the fluctuations of the business cycle
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