Determine the expected times and variances


Problem:

A series of activities must be completed in a coordinated fashion to complete a landscaping overhaul. The following table shows the activities their optimistic, most likely and pessimistic durations and their immediate predecessors

 

  • Activity a   m b Immediate Predecessors
  • A 4 8 12 ---
  • B 4 10 13 A
  • C 7 14 18 B
  • D 9 16 20 B
  • E 6 9 12 B
  • F 2 4 6 D,E
  • G 4 7 13 C,F
  • H 3 5 7 G
  • I 2 3 4 G,H

Required:

Question 1: Determine the expected times and variances for each activity

Question 2: Construct a project network for this problem

Question 3: What is the probability that the project will be finished in less than 57 days?

Question 4: What is the probability that the project will need at least 50 days?

Note: Please explain comprehensively and give step by step solution.

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Civil Engineering: Determine the expected times and variances
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