Determine the expected number of people


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Q: Starting from time 0, northbound TTC buses arrive at the Queens Park station according to a Poisson process of rate per hour. Passengers arrive according to an independent Poisson process of rate µ per hour. When a bus arrives, all waiting customers instantly enter the bus and subsequent customers wait for the next bus.

a) Find the PMF for the number of customers entering the m-th bus given that the interarrival interval between bus m-1 and bus m is x.

b) Find the PMF for the number of customers entering a bus (more specifically, for any given m, find the PMF for the number of customers entering the m-th bus).

c) Given that a bus arrives at time 10:30 PM, find the PMF for the number of customers entering the next bus.

d) Find the PMF for the number of customers waiting at some given time, say 2:30 PM (assume that the processes started infinitely far in the past)

e) You show up at the stop 2:30 PM. You don't know what time the last bus before 2:30 PM arrived (but assume that the processes started infinitely far in the past so there was some bus for sure before 2:30 PM). Determine the expected number of people who will get on the next bus to arrive after 2:30 PM.

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Operation Management: Determine the expected number of people
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