Determine the best crop to plant


Problem:

A farmer in Holland must decide which crop to plant next season: Wheat, corn, or Barley. The return on each will be determined by weather conditions. The profit the farmer will realize from each crop, given the weather conditions, is shown in the following table:

State of Nature
Good Bad
Wheat 100,000 32,000
Corn 60,000 40,000
Barley 80,000 20,000

Determine the best crop to plant according to the following decision criteria.

(a) Maximax

(b) Maximin

(c) Minimax Regret

(d) Hurwicz (alpha = .4)

(e) Equal likelihood

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