Constructing and interpreting a hypothesis test


Assignment:

You correctly solved a majority of the problems and complete and detailed steps are provided to explain how to solve each. Your explanations demonstrate a basic understanding of most of the statistical concepts and terminology, but a few key concepts are missing. Most variables, equations, and expressions are properly formatted, but there are some errors.

Your scatter plot, correlation coefficient, and regression line are all correct, but your critical value is incorrect. You should not be using a t-test to test for correlation.

You correctly reject the null hypothesis and conclude that there is no correlation, but that means that the regression equation should not be used to find the best predicted value.

The regression equation should also use y-hat as the response variable.

Here are the assigment instructions...

Competency

Determine and interpret the linear correlation coefficient, and use linear regression to find a best fit line for a scatter plot of the data and make predictions.

Instructions

Scenario

According to the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the probability of a magnitude 6.7 or greater earthquake in the Greater Bay Area is 63%, about 2 out of 3, in the next 30 years. In April 2008, scientists and engineers released a new earthquake forecast for the State of California called the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF).

As a junior analyst at the USGS, you are tasked to determine whether there is sufficient evidence to support the claim of a linear correlation between the magnitudes and depths from the earthquakes. Your deliverables will be a PowerPoint presentation you will create summarizing your findings and an excel document to show your work.

Concepts Being Studied

• Correlation and regression
• Creating scatterplots
• Constructing and interpreting a Hypothesis Test for Correlation using r as the test statistic

You are given a spreadsheet that contains the following information:

• Magnitude measured on the Richter scale
• Depth in km

Using the spreadsheet, you will answer the problems below in a PowerPoint presentation.

What to Submit

The PowerPoint presentation should answer and explain the following questions based on the spreadsheet provided above.

• Slide 1: Title slide

• Slide 2: Introduce your scenario and data set including the variables provided.

• Slide 3: Construct a scatterplot of the two variables provided in the spreadsheet. Include a description of what you see in the scatterplot.

• Slide 4: Find the value of the linear correlation coefficient r and the critical value of r using α = 0.05. Include an explanation on how you found those values.

• Slide 5: Determine whether there is sufficient evidence to support the claim of a linear correlation between the magnitudes and the depths from the earthquakes. Explain.

• Slide 6: Find the regression equation. Let the predictor (x) variable be the magnitude. Identify the slope and the y-intercept within your regression equation.

• Slide 7: Is the equation a good model? Explain. What would be the best predicted depth of an earthquake with a magnitude of 2.0?

• Slide 8: Conclude by recapping your ideas by summarizing the information presented in context of the scenario.
Along with your PowerPoint presentation, you should include your Excel document which shows all calculations.

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Basic Statistics: Constructing and interpreting a hypothesis test
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