We can use the asset approach to both make predictions about how the market will react to current events and understand how important these events are to investors. Consider the behavior of the Union/Confederate exchange rate during events affect the exchange rate, defined as Confederate dollars per Union dollar, Ec$/$?
a) The confederacy increases the money supply by 2900% between July and December of 1861
b) The Union Army suffers a defeat in battle of Chickamauga in September 1863
c) The confederate Army suffers a major defeat with Sherman's March in the autumn of 1864"