Conditional probablity that the family


A family has j children with probability pj, where

p1 = .1,

p2 = .25,

p3 = .35,

p4 = .3,

A child from his family is randomly chosen. Given that this child is the eldest in the family, find the conditional probablity that the family has

a) only 1 child;
b) 4 children.

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Basic Statistics: Conditional probablity that the family
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