Problem:
A company is considering a project with the following data:
Initial Cost = $500,000
Cost of Capital = 12%
Risk Free Rate = 5%
Cash Flows occur for 3 years according to the following:
Demand Probability Annual Cash Flow
High .30 $270,000
Average .50 $180,000
Low .20 $90,000
a. Compute the NPV of the project.
b. If the company were to wait one year, then the firm would gain additional information regarding demand. The company would be able to not implement the project if demand were low. If the company were to wait, the up front cost and cash flow would remain the same, except they would be shifted ahead by one year. Compute the expected NPV if the company were to wait.