Calculate the forecast for first quarter 2017 and determine


Samsung is trying to forecast demand for first quarter 2017 for one of their memory chips.

Using exponential smoothing, Alpha = 0.2, a forecast for second quarter 2016 of 165,000 chips, and the actual production below.

Calculate the forecast for first quarter 2017 and determine the mean absolute deviation.

Quarter

Memory Chips Produced

Second Quarter 2016

175,000

Third Quarter 2016

142,000

Fourth Quarter 2016

165,000

First Quarter 2016

TBD

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Operation Management: Calculate the forecast for first quarter 2017 and determine
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