Calculate the actual probability model- compare the


Simulating the model

Think about the Tiger Woods picture search again. You are opening boxes of cereal one at a time looking for his picture, which is in 20% of the boxes. You want to know how many boxes you might have to open in order to find Tiger.

a) Describe how you would simulate the search for Tiger using random numbers.

b) Run at least 30 trials.

c) Based on your simulation, estimate the probabilities that you might find your first picture of Tiger in the first box, the second, etc.

d) Calculate the actual probability model.

e) Compare the distribution of outcomes in your simulation to the probability model.

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Basic Statistics: Calculate the actual probability model- compare the
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