Bayes theorem to compute


The prior probabilities for events A1 and A2 are P(A1) = .40 and P(A2) = .60. It is also known that P(A1 A2) = 0. Suppose P(B | A1) = .20 and P(B | A2) = .05.

Compute P(A1 B).

Compute P(A2 B).

Compute P(B).

Apply Bayes' theorem to compute P(A1 | B) (to 4 decimals).

Also apply Bayes' theorem to compute P(A2 | B) (to 4 decimals).

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