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As of november 1 1999 the exchange rate between the

Covered interest arbitrage

As of November 1, 1999, the exchange rate between the Brazilian real and U.S. dollar is R$1.95/$. The consensus forecast for the U.S. and Brazil inflation rates for the next 1-year period is 2.6% and 20.0%, respectively. What would you forecast the exchange rate to be at around November 1, 2000?

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