Question: Ellen, a political intern, analyzes poll data for Cal Stegall, a candidate for state legislature. She notices Stegall's popularity was highest after he gave three speeches on the need for tax reform. When she suggests to the team that Stegall should focus on tax reform closer to the election, the campaign manager points out that even if there is a correlation, that does not prove the speeches CAUSED the increase in popularity.
Whose analysis is correct and why? Need Assignment Help?
Responses
A. The intern is correct since tax reform is a major issue to the voters in Stegall's district.
B. The intern is correct since the increase in the polls occurred within a day of the speeches on tax reform.
C. The campaign manager is correct since he has worked with Stegall for several years and is more familiar with his record.
D. The campaign manager is correct since other favorable events could have boosted Stegall's popularity after those speeches.