A leaders culpability for involving his state in a conflict


Article : The Decider's Dilema :  Leader Culpability,War Outcomes, and Domestic Punishment By Sarah E. Croco

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A leader's culpability for involving his state in a conflict affects both his war termination calculus /' and his domestic audience's willingness to punish him if he loses.

I define a culpable leader as any leader who either presides over the beginning of a war ; or comes to power midwar and shares apolitical connection with a culpable predecessor. Using a data set created specifically for this study , I find that culpable leaders are more likely than nonculpable ones to achieve favorable war outcomes.

I also find that domestic audiences will be willing to punish culpable leaders who lose, yet spare nonculpable leaders who do the same. Taken together ; my findings underscore the need to appreciate more fully the
role individual leaders play in bringing their states to war.

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