--%>
Assignment Help - homework help

Mascot Simulation

Simulation with Crystal Ball


Provided Workbook: Mascot Simulation
Relevant Readings:"Discounted Cash Flow Modeling" folder + Textbook Chapter 4.
This is an individual assignment.

 


Mascot Industries (B)


Consider Mascot's investment decision modeled in HW2.
Mascot now realizes that some of the assumptions made are not quite correct.

For example, the projected receivables for both machines are rather unreliable. It is likely that such projections will diverge significantly from their originally estimated 4-year mean. A normal distribution around the mean, with twice the originally predicted 4-year standard deviation, sounds reasonable to reflect such uncertainty.

Also, the purchase price of the new machine is not guaranteed. Most likely, Mascot will pay the originally estimated amount but it is possible that the price be as low as $240,000 or as high as $270,000. Mascot agrees that the uncertain purchase price should follow a triangular distribution.

Mascot's CFO wants to evaluate how these uncertain variables might affect the project's net present value.


Using Crystal Ball, run a simulation in Workbook "Mascot Simulation B" and provide answers to the following questions. Make sure that you copy the full report of your simulation in a separate worksheet.
You will also be asked to load your spreadsheet at the end of this assignment.

Questions.
Using the distributions described above, set up a simulation in the "Crystal Ball Model B" worksheet.
Run 10,000 trials and attach the full report in a worksheet called "simulation B".

In the "Interpretation" worksheet, provide answers to the following questions:

1) Based on simulation results, are you 100% confident that Mascot should acquire the new machine? Explain.
2) How much effort should Mascot allocate at securing the lowest possible purchase price for the new machine? Explain using the simulation results.

   Related Questions in Finance Basics

  • Q : Investment based question Normal 0

    Normal 0 false false

    		•
  • Q : Explain Workload Budget Workload Budget

    Workload Budget: Workload Budget means the budget year cost of presently authorized services, adjusted for modifications in caseload, enrollment, population, statutory cost-of-living adjustments, one-time expenditures, chaptered legislation, full-year

    		•
  • Q : Describe Section 28.00 Section 28.00 :

    Section 28.00: It is a Control Section of Budget Act which authorizes the Director of Finance to support the augmentation or diminution of items of expenditure for the receipt of un-anticipated federal funds or other non-state funds, and which identif

    		•
  • Q : Question based on imposesing tax Given

    Given equations describe market for widgets                         Demand: P = 10 - Q Supply: P = Q - 4

    Q : Government requirements imposed on

    Describe some of the government requirements imposed onto a public corporation which are not imposed on a private, intimately held corporation? Public corporations ought to submit audited financial statements to the government for release to the

    		•
  • Q : Describe the risk-return relationship

    Describe the risk-return relationship.The relationship among risk and required rate of return is term as the risk–return relationship.  This is a positive relationship since the more risk assumed, the higher the required rate of retur

    		•
  • Q : Define the term floor Floor: The

    Floor: The Assembly or Senate chambers or the word employed to explain the location of a bill or the kind of session. Matters might be termed to as “on the floor”.

    		•
  • Q : Nominal GDP and suitable price index

    Normal 0 false false

  • Q : Absolute and relative sizes of the

    Normal 0 false false

    		•
  • Q : Consumers advocates expressed concern

    Consumer's advocates expressed concern over such merger possibilities. Elucidate this statement.

    		•