Exponential smoothing with a forecast


Problem: The following gives the number of pints of type B Blood used at Woodlawn Hospital in the past 6 weeks:

WEEK OF          PINTS USED

August 31             360
September 7         389
September 14       410
September 21       381
September 28       368
October 5             374

a) Forecast the demand for the week of October 12 using a 3-week moving average.

b) Use a 3-week weighted moving average, with weights of .1, .3, and .6, using .6 for the most recent week. Forecast demand for the week of October 12.

c) Compute the forecast for the week of October 12 using exponential smoothing with a forecast for August 31 of 360 and α = .2

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