Condition on the outcomes of the first two games


Players A and B play a series of games that ends as soon as one side has won two more games than the other side. On each individual game, Player A wins with probability 0.6, independently of the outcomes of any other games played. Condition on the outcomes of the first two games to calculate:

a) the probability that A is the overall winner of the series of games.

b) the expected number of games in the series.

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Basic Statistics: Condition on the outcomes of the first two games
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