Calculate the apv of turnaround


Problem:

Vulture Partners, a private equity organization specializing in distressed company investing, was interested in purchasing a company called Turnaround.  Mr. Fang, a general partner at Vulture, made the following projections to value Turnaround ($mm):

 

Year 1

Year 2

Year 3

Year 4

Year 5

Revenue

200

210

220

230

240

Costs

(100)

(105)

(110)

(115)

(120)

EBIT

100

105

110

115

120

D NWC

+3

+3

+4

+4

+5


Turnaround had $220 million of net operating losses (NOLs) that were available to offset future income.  At the beginning of year 1, the company had $75 million of 8% debt (coupon & yield) which was expected to be repaid in three $25 million installments beginning at the end of year 1.  The relevant tax rate is 40%.  Mr. Fang believed that an appropriate unlevered beta for Turnaround was 0.8.  The long-term treasury yield was 6.5 percent and the market risk premium 7.0%.  Net cash flows were forecast to grow at 3 percent per year in perpetuity after year 5.  Calculate the APV of Turnaround and do a sensitivity analysis on the perpetuity growth rate at 2 and 4 percent.

Also, will you use excel formulas in your solutions/answers or will provide everything calculated using non-excel formulas?

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Finance Basics: Calculate the apv of turnaround
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