What is carambola worth-the honduran lempira


Assignment:

Q1: Carambola de Honduras

Slinger Wayne, a U.S.-based private equity firm, is trying to determine what it should pay for a tool manufacturing firm in Honduras named Carambola. Slinger Wayne estimates that Carambola will generate a free cash flow of 13 million Honduran lempiras (Lp) next year (2013), and that this free cash flow will continue to grow at a constant rate of 8.0% per annum indefinitely

A private equity firm like Slinger Wayne, however, is not interested in owning a company for long, and plans to sell Carambola at the end of three years for approximately 10 times Carambola's free cash flow in that year. The current spot exchange rate is Lp14.80/$, but the Honduran inflation rate is expected to remain at a relatively high rate of 16.0% per annum compared to the U.S. dollar inflation rate of only 2.0% per annum. Slinger Wayne expects to earn at least a 20% annual rate of return on international investments like Carambola

a. What is Carambola worth if the Honduran lempira were to remain fixed over the three year investment period?

b. What is Carambola worth if the Honduran lempira were to change in value over time according to purchasing power parity?

Assumptions   Values      
Expected free cash flow in 2013                13,000,000      
Expected growth rate in free cash flow 8.00%      
Assumed sale multiple of FCF in year 3                                10      
Spot exchange rate, Lempiras/$ (2002)                          14.80      
US dollar inflation rate 2.0%      
Honduran lempira inflation rate 16.0%      
Slinger Wayne required return (annual rate) 20.0%      
           
    0 1 2 3
a) Carambola's value if exchange rate fixed   2012 2013 2014 2015
           
Carambola's expected free cash flow (Lp)      
Expected sale value in year 3        
Total expected free cash flow (Lp)        
           
Expected exchange rate (Lp/$)                     14.8000                          14.8000                       14.8000                       14.8000
           
Carambola's expected FCF in US$        
Present value factor                        1.0000                            0.8333                         0.6944                         0.5787
Present value of expected FCF in US$        
Cumulative present value in US$        
           
    0 1 2 3
b) Carambola's value assuming PPP   2012 2013 2014 2015
           
Carambola's expected free cash flow (Lp)      
Expected sale value in year 3                                         -  
Total expected free cash flow (Lp)        
           
Expected exchange rate (Lp/$)                     14.8000                          16.8314                       19.1416                       21.7688
   (PPP: spot * (1+inf in Lp) / (1 + inf in $)      
           
Carambola's expected FCF in US$        
Present value factor                        1.0000                            0.8333                         0.6944                         0.5787
Present value of expected FCF in US$        
           
Cumulative present value in US$        
           

Q2: Natural Mosaic

Natural Mosaic Company (U.S.) is considering investing Rs50,000,000 in India to create a wholly owned tile manufacturing plant to export to the European market. After five years the subsidiary would be sold to Indian investors for Rs100,000,000. A pro forma income statement for the Indian operation predicts the generation of Rs7,000,000 of annual cash flow, is listed below.

The initial investment will be made on December 31, 2011, and cash flows will occur on December 31st of each succeeding year. Annual cash dividends to Philadelphia Composite from India will equal 75% of accounting income.

The U.S. corporate tax rate is 40% and the Indian corporate tax rate is 50%. Because the Indian tax rate is greater than the U.S. tax rate, annual dividends paid to Natural Mosaic will not be subject to additional taxes in the United States. There are no capital gains taxes on the final sale. Natural Mosaic uses a weighted average cost of capital of 14% on domestic investments, but will add 6 percentage points for the Indian investment because of perceived greater risk. Natural Mosaic forecasts the rupee/dollar exchange rate for December 31st on the next six years are listed below.

What is the net present value and internal rate of return on this investment?

Assumptions Values   Assumptions   Values  
Initial investment in India (Rs)    50,000,000   Dividend distribution per year 75.00%  
Indian corporate tax rate 50.00%   US corporate tax rate 40.00%  
Sale price in year 5 (Rs)  100,000,000   India risk premium to WACC 6.00%  
Natural Mosaic's WACC 14.00%          
               
Pro forma income and cash flow 0 1 2 3 4 5
(December 31st)   2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Sales revenue      30,000,000   30,000,000    30,000,000        30,000,000           30,000,000
Less cash operating expenses   ########## ##########  (17,000,000)      (17,000,000)         (17,000,000)
Gross income      13,000,000   13,000,000    13,000,000        13,000,000           13,000,000
Less depreciation expenses      (1,000,000)   (1,000,000)    (1,000,000)        (1,000,000)           (1,000,000)
Earnings before interest and taxes      12,000,000   12,000,000    12,000,000        12,000,000           12,000,000
Less Indian taxes at 50%      (6,000,000)   (6,000,000)    (6,000,000)        (6,000,000)           (6,000,000)
Net income        6,000,000      6,000,000       6,000,000           6,000,000              6,000,000
               
Add back depreciation            
Annual cash flow            
Initial investment ##########          
Terminal value, sales                   100,000,000
Cash flows for discounting            
     Present value factor 20%            1.0000            0.8333            0.6944             0.5787                 0.4823                    0.4019
     Present value of cash flow            
               
NPV of India investment (project view)            
IRR of Indian investment (project view)            
               
Cash inflows & outflows to US   2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Initial investment (Rs) ##########          
Dividends received in the US (Rs)            
Sales value (Rs)            
Net cash flows to parent after-tax (Rs)            
               
Expected exchange rate (Rs/$)               50.00               54.00              58.00               62.00                   66.00                      70.00
               
Net  cash flows to parent after-tax (US$)            
     Present value factor 20%            1.0000            0.8333            0.6944             0.5787                 0.4823                    0.4019
     Present value of cash flow            
               
NPV of cash flows (parent viewpoint)            
IRR of cash flows (parent viewpoint)            

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Financial Management: What is carambola worth-the honduran lempira
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