The subsection the rational expectations equilibrium


The subsection "The Rational Expectations Equilibrium Approach: Empirical Evidence" investigates the rational expectations hypothesis for the United States. Do the same analysis for Australia.

a. Go to www.rba.gov.au/statistics/index.html and click on "Search for Statistics." Find and download data for M 3 and real GDP (found in Share Price Product).

b. Calculate the growth rate of M 3 as [ln( M 3) ln( M 3 1 )] 100. Calculate the anticipated growth rate of M 3 by regressing the growth rate of M 3 on a constant and four lags. Make a graph that includes the actual, anticipated (fitted), and unanticipated (residual) growth rate of M 3. Comment.

c. Calculate the quarter-to-quarter growth rate in real GDP as

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Econometrics: The subsection the rational expectations equilibrium
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