The annual income from year-to-year changes in balance sheet


Cermco produces and sells specialty customer relationship management (CRM) solutions to small and medium-size businesses in the United States and Canada. The company is more than 20 years old and has a steady, loyal customer base.

A major reason for Cermco’s success lies in the ability of its product to easily integrate with various accounting and ERP systems. As a result, even when clients upgrade their entire accounting systems to expensive ERP solutions, they continue to use Cermco’s CRM because of its superior features.

Annual revenues for Cermco’s three most recent years are about $11 million (20X3), $7 million (20X4), and $3 million (20X5), respectively. Overall interest expenses and operating margins have remained a relatively constant percentage of revenues.

Cermco attributes the decline in revenues to declines in market share as a result of natural client turnover and the entrance of many other small competing software companies into the market. Nevertheless, Cermco’s CRM product continues to enjoy the highest industry ratings and a loyal customer base.

Cermco’s balance sheets for the most recent three years follow:

                            CERMCO

                          Balance Sheet December 31

Thousands                                             20X5                   20X4             20X3

Assets

Current assets

Cash and cash equivalents                   $390                  $1,386            $2,603

Short-term investments                          —                        —                     —

Net receivables                                        720                  664                 1,225

Inventory                                                 —                       —                      —

Other current assets                              412                     469                  892

Total current assets                           $1,522                  $2,519             $4,720

Long-term investments                           1,215                    —                  —

Property, plant, and equipment                76                     258                 454

Goodwill                                                    545                  1,757               2,194

Intangible assets                                      999                 1,844                3,644

Accumulated amortization                        —                       —                      —

Other assets                                            —                       —                      —

Deferred long-term asset charges            —                      —                       —

Total assets                                         $4,357                $6,378                $11,012

Liabilities

Current liabilities

Accounts payable                                   $469                                   $1,174                $1,436

Short/Current long-term debt                   —                                      —                        600

Other current liabilities                            1,227                                  1,358                  1,496

Total current liabilities                       $1,696                                    $2,532                 $3,532

Long-term debt                                      —                                             —                       —

Other liabilities                                       —                                             —                       —

Deferred long-term liability charges     —                                             —                          —

Minority Interest                                     —                                            —                        —

Negative goodwill                                  —                                            —                          —

Total liabilities                                  1,696                                         2,532                    3,532

Stockholders' equity

Misc. stock option warrants                —                                                 —                          —

Redeemable preferred stock                —                                                  —                        —

Preferred stock                                   3,014                                           3,211                  2,333

Common stock                                        16                                              16                      13

Retained earnings                              –25,513                                       –23,814              –19,165

Treasury stock                                       —                                                   —                       —

Capital surplus                                      25,168                                         25,564                25,862

Other stockholders’ equity                   –24                                               –1,131                 –1,563

Total stockholders’ equity               $2,661                                              $3,846                 $7,480

Produce a valuation estimate for Cermco for December 31, 20X5. Use whatever valuation method you think best but justify your choice. Note that you can estimate the annual income from year-to-year changes in the balance sheet.

Cermco produces and sells specialty customer relationship management (CRM) solutions to small and medium-size businesses in the United States and Canada. The company is more than 20 years old and has a steady, loyal customer base.

A major reason for Cermco's success lies in the ability of its product to easily integrate with various accounting and ERP systems. As a result, even when clients upgrade their entire accounting systems to expensive ERP solutions, they continue to use Cermco's CRM because of its superior features.

Annual revenues for Cermco's three most recent years are about $11 million (20X3), $7 million (20X4), and $3 million (20X5), respectively. Overall interest expenses and operating margins have remained a relatively constant percentage of revenues.

Cermco attributes the decline in revenues to declines in market share as a result of natural client turnover and the entrance of many other small competing software companies into the market. Nevertheless, Cermco's CRM product continues to enjoy the highest industry ratings and a loyal customer base.

Cermco's balance sheets for the most recent three years follow:

                            CERMCO

                          Balance Sheet December 31

Thousands                                             20X5                20X4               20X3

Assets

Current assets

Cash and cash equivalents                   $390                  $1,386           $2,603

Short-term investments                          -                          -                    -

Net receivables                                        720                   664                1,225

Inventory                                                 -                          -                      -

Other current assets                              412                     469                  892

Total current assets                           $1,522                   $2,519            $4,720

Long-term investments                           1,215                    -                      -

Property, plant, and equipment               76                      258                  454

Goodwill                                                  545                      1,757               2,194

Intangible assets                                   999                       1,844              3,644

Accumulated amortization                        -                           -                       -

Other assets                                            -                           -                       -

Deferred long-term asset charges            -                           -                       -

Total assets                                         $4,357                    $6,378                $11,012

Liabilities

Current liabilities

Accounts payable                                   $469                    $1,174                  $1,436

Short/Current long-term debt                   -                          -                           600

Other current liabilities                            1,227                  1,358                     1,496

Total current liabilities                       $1,696                   $2,532                    $3,532

Long-term debt                                      -                              -                             -

Other liabilities                                       -                               -                             -

Deferred long-term liability charges     -                                 -                             -

Minority Interest                                     -                               -                            -

Negative goodwill                                  -                                -                            -

Total liabilities                                  1,696                            2,532                   3,532

Stockholders' equity

Misc. stock option warrants                -                                     -                           -

Redeemable preferred stock                -                                    -                          -

Preferred stock                                   3,014                              3,211                  2,333

Common stock                                        16                               16                        13

Retained earnings                              -25,513                            23,814              -19,165

Treasury stock                                       -                                      -                         -

Capital surplus                                      25,168                            25,564              25,862

Other stockholders' equity                   -24                                  -1,131                 -1,563

Total stockholders' equity               $2,661                                 $3,846                $7,480

Produce a valuation estimate for Cermco for December 31, 20X5. Use whatever valuation method you think best but justify your choice. Note that you can estimate the annual income from year-to-year changes in the balance sheet.

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Accounting Basics: The annual income from year-to-year changes in balance sheet
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