Suppose a risk neutral agent has $100,000 today that he wants to save for one year. Compare the following three savings plan: Bank A offers a standard savings account with 4% p.a. (per annum). Bank B offers the following alternative: There is a basis interest rate of 1% p.a. and 40% participation on the performance of the S&P500. The maximum interest rate is capped at 10% p.a. (E.g. If the S&P increases by 4%, there is a bonus of 1.6% so that the total return is 2.6% p.a. If the return of the S&P is 30%, the plan has a total return of 11%. Note, if the S&P has a negative return, the interest rate remains at 1%.) Bank C offers the following alternative: There is a basis interest rate of 2% p.a. and 20% participation on the performance of the S&P500. The maximum interest rate is capped at 12% p.a.
Suppose the S&P has 1000 points at t=0. At t=1 it can have {900, 990, 1000, 1020, 1030, 1040, 1100, 1120, 1320, 1400} points with equal probability.
1. The agent maximizes the expected amount at t=1. Which plan is best? How much can the agent spend in expectation at t=1 if he chooses the best one?