Regress dividend payments


Question 1)  Consider the following model: Yi = Bo + B1Xi +B2D2i + B3D3i + ui   

Where Y = annual earnings of MBA graduates
          X = years of service
          D2 = 1 if Harvard MBA
               = 0 if otherwise
          D3 = 1 if Wharton MBA
               = 0 if otherwise

a. What are the expected signs of the various coefficients?
b. How would you interpret B2 and B3?
c. If B2 > B3, what conclusion would you draw?

Question 2. Table below gives data on after tax corporate profits and net corporate dividend payments ($, in billions) for the United States for the quarterly period of 1999:1 to 2003:3.

a) Regress dividend payments (Y) on after tax corporate profits (X) to find out if there is relationship between the two.

b) To see if the dividend payments exhibit any seasonal pattern, develop a suitable dummy variable regression model and estimate it. 

In developing the model, how would take into account that the intercept as well as the slope coefficient may vary from quarter to quarter?

c) When would you regress Y on X, disregarding seasonal variation?

d) Based on your results, what can you say about the seasonal pattern, if any, in the dividend payment policies of U.S. private corporations?  Is this what you expected a priori?

TABLE: DIVIDENDS AND AFTER-TAX PROFITS, 1999:1-2003:3

NDIV = Net dividends

ATPROFITS = Corporate profits after tax with inventory valuation and capital consumption adjustments.

Observations

NDIV

ATPROFITS

1999:1

339.9000

593.2000

1999:2

333.4000

592.9000

1999:3

334.2000

582.1000

1999:4

342.0000

602.5000

2000:1

360.3000

551.8000

2000:2

377.3000

560.5000

2000:3

386.6000

551.5000

2000:4

387.6000

547.2000

2001:1

380.0000

536.7000

2001:2

371.5000

531.4000

2001:3

368.7000

515.5000

2001:4

372.6000

693.5000

2002:1

382.3000

698.6000

2002:2

393.5000

704.8000

2002:3

404.3000

701.2000

2002:4

413.1000

732.0000

2003:1

420.3000

713.2000

2003:2

427.5000

811.3000

2003:3

434.3000

893.7000

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Microeconomics: Regress dividend payments
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