Recommend the decision using expected value approach


In the certain state lottery, a lottery ticket costs $2. In terms of decision to buy or not to buy lottery ticket, assume that the following payoff table applies:

State of Nature

Decision Alternatives Win s1 Loses s2

Purchase lottery ticket, d1 300,000 -2

Do not purchase lottery ticket, d2 0 0

i) The realistic evaluate of chances of winning is 1 in 250,000. Use expected value approach to recommend the decision.

ii) If particular decision maker allots the indifference probability of 0.000001 to $0 payoff, would the individual buy the lottery ticket? Use expected utility to justify the answer.

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Mathematics: Recommend the decision using expected value approach
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