Real Option Excel Problem: Oklahoma Instruments (OI) is considering a project called F-200 that has an up-front cost of $250,000.The project's subsequent cash flows are critically dependent on whether another of its products, F-100, becomes an industry standard. There is a 50% chance that the F-100 will become the industry standard, in which case the F-200's expected cash flows will be $110,000 at the end of each of the next 5 years.There is a 50% chance that the F-100 will not become the industry standard, in which case the F-200's expected cash flows will be $25,000 at the end of each of the next 5 years. Assume that the cost of capital is 12%.
1. Based on the above information, what is the F-200's expected net present value?
2. Now assume that one year from now OI will know if the F-100 has become the industry standard. Also assume that after receiving the cash flows at t = 1, OI has the option to abandon the project, in which case it will receive an additional $100,000 at t = 1 but no cash flows after t = 1.Assuming that the cost of capital remains at 12%, what is the estimated value of the abandonment option?