Probability related to survey


Question 1:

According to a recent survey, the average urban person consumes 1.5 kg of food per day. Is this figure also true for rural people? Suppose 64 rural people are identified by a random procedure and their average consumption per day is 1.57 kg of food. Assume a population variance of 0.52 kg2 of food per day. Use a 5% level of significance to determine whether the survey figure for urban people is also true for rural people on the basis of the sample data.

Question 2:

A study is conducted to estimate the average difference in bus use in a large city between the morning and afternoon rush hours. The transit authority's researcher randomly selects nine buses because of the variety of routes they represent. On a given day, the number of passengers on each bus is counted at 7.45 am and at 4.45 pm, with the following results:

Bus

Morning

Afternoon

1

43

41

2

51

49

3

37

44

4

24

32

5

47

46

6

44

42

7

50

47

8

55

51

9

46

49

a) Use the data to compute a 90% confidence interval to estimate the population average difference. Assume that the number of passengers is normally distributed.

Question 3:

Nowadays, there is a wide range of digital cameras available with many differentfeatures and price tags. The following table lists the prices and effective megapixels of some of these cameras. Suppose a potential buyer is interested in finding out if there is a positive relationship between effective megapixels and price.

a) Using thesedata, perform a simple regression analysis to predict the price of a digital camera using the number of effective megapixels. Interpret the slope term and state whether it is consistent with the buyer's prior belief.

b) Discuss the r2 and se. Several of these cameras have a resolution of 10 effective megapixels, but their price varies significantly from $999 to $2199. Provide an intuitive explanation as to why this might be the case.

Model

Price ($)

Effective megapticels

Canon PowerShot S5IS

599

8

Canon EQS 400 D + 18-55 mm EFS

1199

                                   10.1

Canon EQS 400 D + 17-85 mm EFS IS USM

2799

                                   10.1

Fujifilm Finepix S8000fd

649

8

Kodak Easyshare ZD170

299

                                     7.1

Nikon D80 DX 18-70 mm

2198

10

Nikon D40x Kit DX 18-55 mm EDIT

999

10

Olympus E-140 Kit + 14-42 mm ED

999

10

Olympus E-510 Kit + 14-42 mm ED

1299

10

Olympus SP-560UZ

599

8

Panasonic Lumix DMC-L10 + Leica D14-50 mm

2199

10

Panasonic Lumix DMC-FZ18

769

8

Sony Alpha DSLR-A700 + 18-70 mm DT

2399

                                   12.2

Question 4:

Study the following regression analysis to predict y using x.

155_analysis of varinace.jpg

a) What is the equation of the regression model?

b) What is the meaning of the coefficient of x?

c) What is the result of the test of the slope of the regression model? Let α = .10. Why is the t statistic negative?

d) Comment on r2 and the standard error of the estimate.

e) The correlation coefficient for these two variables is -.7918. Is this result surprising to you? Why or why not?

Question 5:

What factors determine how happy workers are in their jobs?

a) Use the following data and multiple regression to produce a model to predict employee satisfaction. Comment on the results of the process.

Job

Relationship

ionship with ry

supervisor

Overall quality of     Total hours

work environment     worked per week

ies for Opportunities

 advancement

55

3

6

55                       4

20

1

1

60

3

85

4

8

45

1

65

4

5

65

5

45

3

4

40

3

70

4

6

50

4

35

2

2

75

2

60

4

7

40

3

95

5

8

45

5

65

3

7

60

1

85

3

7

55

3

10

1

1

50

2

75

4

6

45

4

80

4

8

40

5

50

3

5

60

5

90

5

10

55

3

75

3

8

70

4

45

2

4

40

2

65

3

7

55

1

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Basic Statistics: Probability related to survey
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