Predicting the number of victories


Question: In 2009, the New York Yankees won 103 baseball games during the regular season. The table on the next page lists the number of victories (W), the earnedrun-average (ERA), and the batting average (AVG) of each team in the American League. The ERA is one measure of the effectiveness of the pitching staff, and a lower number is better. The batting average is one measure of effectiveness of the hitters, and a higher number is better.           
           
Q1. Develop a regression model that could be used to predict the number of victories based on the ERA.           
           
Q2. Develop a regression model that could be used to predict the number of victories based on the batting average.           
           
Q3. Which of the two models is better for predicting the number of victories?           
           
Q4. Develop a multiple regression model that includes both ERA and batting average. How does this compare to the previous models?    

TEAM W ERA AVG
New York Yankees 103 4.26 0.283
Los Angeles Angels  97 0.45 0.285
Boston Red Sox  95 4.35 0.27
Minnesota Twins  87 4.5 0.274
Texas Rangers  87 4.38 0.26
Detroit Tigers  86 4.29 0.26
Seattle Mariners  85 3.87 0.258
Tampa Bay Rays  84 4.33 0.263
Chicago White Sox  79 4.14 0.258
Toronto Blue Jays  75 4.47 0.266
Oakland Athletics  75 4.26 0.262
Cleveland Indians  65 5.06 0.264
Kansas City Royals  65 4.83 0.259
Baltimore Orioles 64 5.15 0.268

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Accounting Basics: Predicting the number of victories
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