Question: A poll is conducted the day before a Senatorial election. 2 candidates are running. The poll shows that 56% of the voters favor the republican candidate with a margin of error of 2 percentage points. Should the Republican expect to win? Why or why not?
1) The results show that the Republican is not likely to win a solid majority because when the margin for error is taken into account he or she will most likely not get the majority of the vote.
2) The results suggest that the Republican is just as likely to win or lose the election because 56% is very close to 50%
3) The results suggest he Republican is likely to win because they will most likely get between 54% and 58% of the vote.