Payoff matrix-low-cost survey by calculating evpi


Problem: Based on the recommendation of a student project group the firm X changed their packaging 3 months ago. Against the forecasts given, the quarterly revenue has decreased significantly since the introduction of the new product packaging design. With the following payoff matrix, argue why only a low-cost survey (2000$) had been done by calculating EVPI.

 

Revenue changes (Mio $)

 

 

Strategy

Market response

Weak

Moderate

Strong

(0,1)

(0,6)

(0,3)

New package

-0,05

0,1

0,3

Old package

0

0

0

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