Method to forecast a company sales


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Ratio to moving average method

Q: An analyst wants to use the ratio-to-moving average method to forecast a company's sales for the next few quarters. Beginning in Quarter 4 of 2006 , the analyst collects the following sales data (in millions of dollars).

Estimate the seasonal index associated with Quarter 1 . Round your answer to at least three decimal places.

Tme

Quarter

Sales

Moving Average

1

4

113.2

 

 

 

2

1

211

 

 

137.5

3

2

132

 

 

142.4

4

3

93.8

 

 

137.025

5

4

132.8

 

 

135.4

6

1

189.5

 

 

136.225

7

2

125.5

 

 

136.825

8

3

97.1

 

 

154.35

9

4

135.2

 

 

156.2

10

1

259.6

 

 

154.6

11

2

132.9

 

 

 

12

3

90.7

 

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