How an exchange rate crisis can lead to a sovereign default


Questions:

1. Consider the first generation crisis model without forward looking agents (they don't anticipate the crisis). Explain how the fiscal deficit affects the pattern over time of a) international reserves, b) domestic interest rates, c) the local price level, and d) the exchange rate. Use time graphs and the relevant equations in your answer.

2. Now consider the first generation crisis model with forward looking agents (they do anticipate the crisis). Explain how the fiscal deficit affects the pattern over time of a) international reserves, b) domestic interest rates, c) the local price level, and d) the exchange rate. Use time graphs and the relevant equations in your answer.

3. Banking crisis often occur at roughly the same time as exchange rate crises. Explain how banking crises can cause an exchange rate crisis and how an exchange rate crisis can cause a banking crisis.

4. Sovereign defaults often occur during an exchange rate crisis. Elaborate on how an exchange rate crisis can lead to a sovereign default.

5. How does the second generation model of exchange rate crises differ from a first generation model of exchange rate crises?

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Microeconomics: How an exchange rate crisis can lead to a sovereign default
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