Explain the concept of black swans

Response to the following at least 300 words for each questions and two scholars references.

1.) Considering the concept of "Black Swans" described in the 2014 QHSR, how does this concept relate to changes in the strategic environment or prevailing strategic challenges? Do you agree with the four Black Swan scenarios presented there, or are there different low probability/high consequence scenarios that should be anticipated and considered instead? Explain.

2.) Regarding chemical facility security, what do you believe are the most serious threats, risks, vulnerabilities and hazards? What is your assessment of the CFATS regulations in terms of implementation and effectiveness? What more should be done to improve chemical facility security?



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