Estimates of bush lead in the polls


Discuss the below:

Prior to the November, 2000 presidential election George W. Bush had a comfortable lead in the polls. But on election day Bush ended up losing the popular vote by a small margin (although winning the electoral vote). Read the following article below written before the election:

Larry Kudlow (2000) The Weak-End of Polling, Retrieved February 27, 2008, from https://www.nationalreview.com/kudlow/kudlow071800.html

Create a three to five page paper answering the following questions:

A. Why do you think different polls got such a wide range of estimates of Bush's lead in the polls, ranging from a 12% lead to a 4% lead?

B. What sampling techniques would you use to get the most accurate estimate of which candidate would win on election day?

 

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Basic Statistics: Estimates of bush lead in the polls
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