Estimate the trend component of monthly demand


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Q: A manager of a store that sells and installs spas wants to prepare a forecast for January, February, and March of next year. Her forecasts are a combination of trend and seasonality. She uses the following equation to estimate the trend component of monthly demand: Fr 80 2t, where t-0 in June of last year. Seasonal relatives are .93 for January, 1.12 for February, and 1.04 for March. What demands should she predict?

Month                           Forecast
January of the next year  105
February of the next year 110
March of the next year    115

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Operation Research: Estimate the trend component of monthly demand
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