Doing regression using excel


Assignment:

The National Transportation Safety Board collects data by state (including the District of Columbia) on traffic fatalities. Part of this data is shown in the following table. along with potentially related factors including population, number of licensed drivers, number of registered vehicles, and total number of vehicle miles driven. (The complete data are available in the file traffic.xls.) You have been asked to develop a model to help explain the factors that underlie traffic fatalities.

State Trafic fatalities population (thousands) Licensed drivers (thousands Registered vehicles (thousands) Vegicle miles traveled (millions)
AL 1083 4219 3043 3422 48,956
AK 85 606 443 508 4,150
AZ 903 4075 2654 2980 38,774
AR 610 2453 1770 1560 24,948
CA 4226 31431 20359 23518 271,943
CO 585 3656 2620 3144 33,705
CT 310 3275 2205 2638 27,138
DE 112 706 512 568 7,025
DC 69 570 366 270 3,448
FL 2687 13953 10885 10132 121,989






a. Build a linear model to predict traffic fatalities based on all four potential explanatory variables as they are measured in the table. Evaluate the model in terms of overall goodness-of-fit. Evaluate the results for each regression parameter: Are the signs appropriate? Are the values different from zero?

b. Can yo improve the model in (a) by removing one or more of the explanatory variables from the regression? If so, compare the advantages and disadvantages of the resulting regression from the one in (a).

c. Can yo improve the models in (a) or (b) by transforming one or more of the explanatory variables from the regression? If so, compare the advantages and disadvantages of the resulting regression from the ones in (a) and (b)

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