Difference between the price-earnings ratios


Discuss the below:

Q-Wilcoxon-Signed Rank Test

The 1997 price/earnings ratios for a sample of 12 stocks are shown in the following list (Barron's, December 8, 1997).  Assume that a financial analyst has provided the estimated price/earnings ratio for 1998. Using a .05 level of significance, what is your conclusion about the differences between the price/earnings ratios for 1997 and 1998?

D1 denotes probability distribution of 1997 P/E Ratios

D2 denotes probability distribution of 1998 P/E Ratio

H0 : D1 and D2 are identical probability distributions

Hα: D1 is shifted to the right or left of D2, in other words, the two probability distributions are not identical.  This is a two-sided test.

COMPANY

1997 P/E RATIO

1998 P/E RATIO

Coca-Cola

40

32

Du Pont

24

22

Eastman Kodak

21

23

General Electric

30

23

General Mills

25

19

IBM

19

19

McDonalds

20

17

Merck

29

19

Motorola

35

20

Philip Morris

17

18

Walt Disney

33

27

Xerox

20

16

Wilcoxon Signed Ranks Test

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

X1

X2

Diff

|Diff|

Rank

 

 

 

H0 :

m1 = m2

m1 >= m2

m1 <= m2

40

32

8

8

9

 

S(+)

62.5

T

3.5

62.5

3.5

24

22

2

2

2.5

 

S(-)

3.5

p-Value

 

 

 

21

23

-2

2

2.5

 

 

 

Look up T tables for p-Values

30

23

7

7

8

 

n

11

 

 

 

 

25

19

6

6

6.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

19

19

0

 

 

 

E[T]

33

 

p ≤ 0.004883

 

20

17

3

3

4

 

s(T)

 

 

 

 

 

29

19

10

10

10

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

35

20

15

15

11

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

17

18

-1

1

1

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

33

27

6

6

6.5

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

20

16

4

4

5

 

 

 

 

 

 

Solution Preview :

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Basic Statistics: Difference between the price-earnings ratios
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