Develop your own economic forecasting model


Homework: Business Policy

Case Analysis of (FedEx)

For this capstone course, the core homework is a project that involves a strategic analysis of a publicly held company (FEDEX). This project will test students' mastery of the Core Learning Outcomes through a detailed analysis of managerial decisions and actions that help determine the long-term performance of the company (FEDEX). It includes the environmental scanning (both external and internal), strategy formulation (strategic or long-range planning), strategic implementation, and evaluation and control.

Live Case Analysis:

Required:

a) Executive summary
b) Historical overview of a company your team selects and products and/or services provided by that company.
c) Analysis of economy and industry.
d) SWOT analysis of the company.
e) Forecast of the economy, industry, and company for next year.
f) Pro-forma Income Statement and Balance Sheet
g) Recommendations and conclusions.

Guides and Tips: (Overall length: 10 to 15 pages, not including references, charts, etc.)

A. FedEx will be the publicly held company that is Chosen. You will need at least 3 years of historical and Financial data (5 to 10 years is preferred).

B. Discuss the relationship, if any, between the economy and industry, and the industry and company.

C. Provide an overview of the FedEx company's Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats. Note that Strengths and Weakness are internal, Threats are external, and Opportunities tend to be a combination of internal Strengths combined with favorable industry/economy factors. There is a difference between Opportunities and Options.

D. Use one of the readily available forecasts of the economy versus trying to develop your own economic forecasting model. Most major industries are forecasted by the government, think tanks, and/or industry trade groups. Use their information for your forecast of the industry. For FedEx company, use historical sales data and perform regression analysis. Regression analysis for most publicly held companies will provide strong R squared and R values to be used in forecasting future sales. In those cases where R squared and R values are too low for forecasting purposes, you will have to develop your own methodology to forecast sales. Be sure and explain how you arrive at a forecasted sales value.

E. An abbreviated Pro-forma Income Statement and Balance Sheet is needed. You do no need to encompass all the variables but rather show sales, cost of goods sold or cost of services provides, and fixed costs. Other noteworthy items can be included if they are significant.

F. Draw conclusions based on your forecast and analysis of the company including the challenges faced by the company and industry.

Format your homework according to the give formatting requirements:

• The answer must be using Times New Roman font (size 12), double spaced, typed, with one-inch margins on all sides.

• The response also includes a cover page containing the student's name, the title of the homework, the course title, and the date. The cover page is not included in the required page length.

• Also include a reference page. The references and Citations should follow APA format. The reference page is not included in the required page length.

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Operation Management: Develop your own economic forecasting model
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