Determine the correlation of determination


Problem:

Recall that the correlation coefficient is a single value that captures the direction and extent of linear association between 2 random variables (securities). The formula for measuring covariance is equal to the correlation coefficient (rho) multiplied by the standard deviation for security1 multiplied by the standard deviation of security2.

 Cov (rGM, rS&P500) = ρGM,S&P500 σGM σS&P500

Based on the Summary Output of Excel Regression (aka Analysis of Variance (ANOVA)) output listed below answer the following questions:

1. Determine the Correlation of Determination (r squared):

2. Determine the Correlation coefficient “r” (rho symbol = ρ):

3. Determine (calculate) the Covariance (formula given above) between GM and S&P500. Note: the Covariance of an asset with itself is equal to its Variance. The standard deviation (sigma symbol = σ) is equal to the square root of the variance.

COVARIANCE MATRIX:

 

 

 

 

 

 

GM

S&P500

 

 

 

 

GM

107.9827

 

 

 

 

 

S&P 500

26.7882

20.2486

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

SUMMARY OUTPUT OF EXCEL REGRESSION:

 

 

 

SUMMARY OUTPUT

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Regression Statistics

 

 

 

 

 

M ultiple R

0.57289

 

 

 

 

 

R Square

0.32820

 

 

 

 

 

Adj. R Square

0.31662

 

 

 

 

 

Standard Error

8.66281

 

 

 

 

 

Observations

60

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

ANOVA

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

df

SS

MS

 

F

Significance F

Regression

1.00000

2.126.39208

2,126.39208

 

28.33517

0.00000

Residual

58.00000

4.352.56751

75.04427

 

 

 

Total

59.00000

6,478.95958

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Coefficients

Std Error

t Stat

 

P-value

 

Intercept

(1.10680)

1.12563

(0.98328)

 

0.32956

 

S&P 500

1.32297

0.24853

5.32308

 

0.00000

 

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Finance Basics: Determine the correlation of determination
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