Consider a project to supply Detroit with 40,000 tons of machine screws annually for automobile production. You will need an initial $5,000,000 investment in threading equipment to get the project started; the project will last for six years. The accounting department estimates that annual fixed costs will be $700,000 and that variable costs should be $300 per ton; accounting will depreciate the initial fixed asset investment straight-line to zero over the six-year project life. It also estimates a salvage value of $600,000 after dismantling costs. The marketing department estimates that the automakers will let the contract at a selling price of $370 per ton. The engineering department estimates you will need an initial net working capital investment of $500,000. You require a 15 percent return and face a marginal tax rate of 30 percent on this project.
a-1. What is the estimated OCF for this project?
OCF $
a-2. What is the estimated NPV for this project? (Round your answer to 2 decimal places. (e.g., 32.16))
NPV $
b. Suppose you believe that the accounting department’s initial cost and salvage value projections are accurate only to within ±15 percent; the marketing department’s price estimate is accurate only to within ±10 percent; and the engineering department’s net working capital estimate is accurate only to within ±5 percent. What is your worst-case and best-case scenario for this project? (Negative amounts should be indicated by a minus sign. Round your answers to 2 decimal places. (e.g., 32.16))
Worst-case $
Best-case $