Confidence interval for the population proportion


In the August 12, 2007, issue of Parade magazine (which comes with the Sunday newspaper for millions of Americans), readers were asked to go online and vote on this question: Should the drinking age be lowered? The results were published in the October 7 issue; more than 14,000 readers voted, and 48% said "yes."

1. Employ these sample data to determine a 99% confidence interval for the population proportion who favor lowering the drinking age.

2. Report margin-of-error for this confidence interval.

3. Discuss why this interval is so narrow.

4. Without conducting a test of significance, what can you say about the p-value if you were to test whether the population proportion differs from one-half? Explain.

5. Does Parade's sampling method give you any reason to doubt that the confidence interval in question 1 is valid? Explain.

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Basic Statistics: Confidence interval for the population proportion
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