A concessionaire for the local ballpark has developed a


Question: A concessionaire for the local ballpark has developed a table of conditional values for the various alternatives (stocking decision) and states of nature (size of crowd).

large avrg small

Large Inventory         $22,000        $12,000       -$2,000

Average Inventory     $15,000         $12,000        $6,000

Small Inventory         $9,000           $6,000          $5,000

If the probabilities associated with the states of nature are 0.30 for a large crowd, 0.50 for an average crowd, and 0.20 for a small crowd, determine

(a) the alternative that provides the greatest expected monetary value (EMV)

(b) Draw the decision tree for this problem

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