How are you able to measure real probabilities
How are you able to measure real probabilities?
Expert
In classical stochastic differential equation models it implies knowing the real drift rate, frequently denoted with µ for equities. It can be very hard, very harder than measuring volatility. Is this even possible to say whether we are in bear market or a bull? Frequently not! And you require to project forward, again still harder, and harder than also forecasting volatility.
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