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Forecast the expected return for the stock assuming the

Find a low-risk stock-Walmart or Kellogg would be a good candidate but any are welcome. Use monthly returns for the most recent three years to confirm that the beta is less than 1.0. Now estimate the annual standard deviation for the stock and the S&P index, and the correlation between the returns on the stock and the index. Forecast the expected return for the stock, assuming the CAPM holds, with a market return of 12% and a risk-free rate of 5%.

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## Q : If the market performance can only be partially predicted

if the market performance can only be partially predicted then doesnt that automatically make that market something